Demographic decline and service
Fertility, aging, childcare supply
CDC and CBO baselines; cost-of-childrearing channels; why mandatory service is not yet an established fertility instrument.
Supporting essays
These briefs compile U.S. evidence relevant to the working paper. They separate established baselines from design hypotheses and name gaps explicitly. They are not an official score of the framework.
Fertility, aging, childcare supply
CDC and CBO baselines; cost-of-childrearing channels; why mandatory service is not yet an established fertility instrument.
Turnout, trust, waiver doctrine
Size of the nonvoter pool, chronic abstention, and why a formal nonvoting class is legally untested.
IRCA, PRWORA, screening gaps
What legal status does to wages and employment, and what it does not settle about probation length.
Trustees, UBI pilots, selection
Solvency markers, benefit cliffs, Stockton and Finland results, Medicare Advantage as a choice analogue.
Student debt, housing, labor supply
Homeownership elasticities, forbearance behavior, moral-hazard design, missing swap score.
ID literature, DPOC, compulsory voting
What photo-ID studies show, what they do not show about documentary proof-of-citizenship, and the U.S. compulsory-voting gap.
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